Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastBefore 2035 44.2%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
58
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleAug 20, 23, 3:18 PM UTCJan 2, 00, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0.4%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will be the most numerous type of fusion power plant in 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill Helion provide nuclear fusion power to a data center before end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill fusion power be commercially available by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Helion Energy have a power plant in operation by the end of 2028?
ForecastExWhen will nuclear fusion be achieved?
KalshiWill Base launch a token by ___ ?
PolymarketRules
For decades, nuclear fusion was always "20 years away".
- Now it's time to settle the debate here! Will it ever happen, and when?
- I've opted for a range instead of a specific year, but you can specify the exact year in the comments below if you want.
- I've also allowed for adding new answers later for this poll, so if you think additional options need to be added, let me know!
- Will resolve when either of the following conditions are met:
- The first commercial nuclear fusion power station is built.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built??
- Manifold Markets prices Before 2035 at 44% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built? resolve?
- When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2100.
- How is When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: For decades, nuclear fusion was always "20 years away".