Which country will produce the first >1GW nuclear fusion power plant to return energy back to the grid?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Which country will produce the first >1GW nuclear fusion power plant to return energy back to the grid??

Manifold Markets prices UK at 50.9% as of October 22, 2026.

When does Which country will produce the first >1GW nuclear fusion power plant to return energy back to the grid? resolve?

Which country will produce the first >1GW nuclear fusion power plant to return energy back to the grid? is scheduled to resolve on December 27, 2111.

How is Which country will produce the first >1GW nuclear fusion power plant to return energy back to the grid? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Close date updated to 9999-12-27 4:25 pm

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KALSHI

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

• Before Jan 20, 2029+2.0pt22.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt13.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2027-0.3pt4%

+4 more outcomes

Total Vol

$36.8M

24h Vol

$105.7K

POLYMARKET

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

• December 31-0.3pt4%
• October 311%

+5 more outcomes

Total Vol

$74.5M

24h Vol

$63.3K

KALSHI

How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

• Above 0+1.0pt24%
• Above 1+1.0pt11.5%
• Above 2

KALSHI

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

• No97%
• Yes-0.8pt3%

Total Vol

$2M

24h Vol

$5.6K

POLYMARKET

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 22, 2026?

• 6.1 or more+72.5pt95%
• 5.5 to 5.6-13.4pt3%
• 5.3 to 5.4-11.1pt2%

+3 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

• 1-2.5pt81%
• 2+5.5pt19%
• 30%

+3 more outcomes

• How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
• Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?
• Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
• What will the biggest earthquake be on October 23, 2026?
• Will Massachusetts scientific R&D jobs rise YoY?
• Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
• Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
• When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
• How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
• How many human H5N1 cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?