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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Science
  3. Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

2.0% (24h)One-OffScience6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 7%+2.0%
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$11.5

Liquidity

$1.2K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

5.0% / 7.0%

Spread

40.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Jan 1, 26, 3:00 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes7%

Rules

If there is at least an earthquake of 8 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi

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Rules

If there is at least an earthquake of 8 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi