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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?

One-OffScience9y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 30%
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$131.5

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

26.0% / 62.0%

Spread

138.5%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

Jun 21, 25, 5:00 PMDec 31, 35, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes30%

Rules

If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Dec 31, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi

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Rules

If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Dec 31, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi