What will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2026?
Science2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast5.6 to 6.0 37.8%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJan 11, 26, 9:51 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the highest magnitude earthquake occurring within the Campi Flegrei (Phlegraean Fields) region in Italy during the year 2026.
- The resolution will be determined using data from the Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), which provides comprehensive seismic monitoring for the area.
- The specific magnitude ranges for resolution are:
- the named outcome
- The highest recorded magnitude within the specified period will determine the outcome.