What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
2.0 pts (24h)WeatherScienceYearly4y
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Oil · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
Oil 59%Leader of 10 outcomes
Oil 59%Market quality
66 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$397
Open interest
$51.4K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
OilSpread
—
Market data
Updated 37 minutes ago
Jun 27, 25, 8:45 PM UTCDec 31, 30, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Oil
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will primary energy consumption in the US decrease by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill primary energy consumption per capita in France exceed 30,000 kWh/person/year in 2040?
Manifold MarketsBy the year 2030, renewable energy sources will account for more than 50% of the world's total energy consumption.
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will solar power on Earth dominate renewable energy consumption before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceed 1.5% in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceed 0.5% in December 2026?
ForecastExRules
If Oil is the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Rules for each outcome
- Oil
- If Oil is the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Coal
- If Coal is the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gas
- If Gas is the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Traditional biomass
- If Traditional biomass is the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nuclear
- If Nuclear is the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hydropower
- If Hydropower is the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Solar
- If Solar is the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Other renewables
- If Other renewables is the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Modern biofuels
- If Modern biofuels is the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wind
- If Wind is the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.