Will primary energy consumption per capita in France exceed 30,000 kWh/person/year in 2040?
One-OffCommoditiesMacro & Economy14y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 62.8%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleOct 6, 26, 11:44 AM UTCDec 31, 40, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market resolves YES if France’s primary energy use per person in calendar year 2040 is greater than 30,000 kWh per person per year, and NO otherwise.
- The resolution source will be Our World in Data’s “Primary energy use per person” series for France, using the first published 2040 value that is based on finalized annual energy data.
- The relevant metric is total primary energy supply per capita, measured in kWh/person/year.
- It includes commercially traded fossil fuels, nuclear energy, and modern renewables, and excludes traditional biomass.
- For reference, France’s value in 2025 was approximately 37,613 kWh/person/year.
- Its historical peak was approximately 52,066 kWh/person/year in 2004.
