KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem · —
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Stored price
Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem 43.5%Leader of 5 outcomes
Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem 43.5%Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$2.7K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap ProblemSpread
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Market data
Updated 46 minutes ago
LaggingSep 12, 26, 10:00 PM UTCJan 1, 45, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketWill a Millennium Prize Problem be solved in November 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a millennium prize problem be solved by a human?
Manifold MarketsWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PolymarketAnother Frontier Math Problem Solved by which date?
PolymarketRules
If Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The GuardianNational Academy of Sciences of the United StatesFinancial TimesAssociated Pressthe Clay Mathematics InstituteScienceNaturearXiv preprint repository operated by Cornell UniversityRoyal Societythe American Mathematical Societythe International Mathematical UnionThe Washington Postthe New York TimesMax Planck SocietyAmerican Association for the Advancement of ScienceBritish Broadcasting CorporationQuanta MagazineThe Wall Street JournalFrench Academy of SciencesBloomberg NewsReutersProceedings of the National Academy of SciencesScientific AmericanThe Economist
- A Millennium Prize Problem is considered Solved at the earliest time that any of the following occurs: A complete proof, disproof, or counterexample addressing the problem as officially formulated is published in a peer-reviewed journal. The Clay Mathematics Institute or another recognized authoritative academic body officially recognizes in writing that the problem has been resolved by reference to a specific written work. At least two Source Agencies report that the problem has been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work. If multiple problems have the same Solution Time, each is treated as the next problem Solved and the market resolves to 1/N, where N is the number of tied problems. A qualifying solution ceases to count if, before Expiration, it is formally retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, rescinded, or found to contain an identified and unaddressed error.
Rules for each outcome
- Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem
- If Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hodge Conjecture
- If Hodge Conjecture is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture
- If Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- P versus NP Problem
- If P versus NP Problem is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Riemann Hypothesis
- If Riemann Hypothesis is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next? · Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness 98%