Current implied probability
Yes 70%-0.1%
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$689.3
Low liquidityBid / Ask
67.0% / 72.0%
Spread
7.5%
Moderate spread7d Change
-2.5%
Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Nov 12, 25, 10:09 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes70%
Volume trend
$100Jul 222d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
- The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/).
- If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".