Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 56.5%
Forecasters
21
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleApr 28, 26, 3:29 AM UTCMar 21, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
PolymarketWill a junior high school student win gold medal at the 2026 Indonesia National Mathematical Olympiad?
Manifold MarketsWho will win #1 Gold Medal in the 2026 Indonesia National Informatics Olympiad?
Manifold MarketsTime between AI winning IMO gold medal and AI winning IMO grand challenge (see description)
Manifold MarketsWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
PolymarketOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
KalshiRules
I am male and I will be a junior next year, aiming for USAMO gold.
- I got 29 on JMO26, 771617 top day1; the Top Honors cutoff is 30, with or without tiebrakers.
- I fakesolved P5 in contest and got docked on P3 from a 7 (I believe).
- This market is created to encourage myself to study harder, so I reserve the right to bet YES and not sell YES on this market.
Open markets
CommoditiesKALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
- Above $90.99+14.0pt99%
- Above $90.49+9.0pt99%
- Above $83.4999%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $478.9K
- 24h Vol
- $306.2K
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 more outcomes
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+34 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $147.5K
- 24h Vol
- $147.5K
KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $2.85097%
- Above $2.85594%
- Above $2.86089%
+67 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $132.1K
- 24h Vol
- $131.5K
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.150099%
- Above 4.145099%
- Above 4.135099%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $130.6K
- 24h Vol
- $128.4K
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $85.4999%
- Above $85.99+7.0pt99%
- Above $84.9999%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $131.8K
- 24h Vol
- $90.6K
- Copper price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Brent crude oil price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Gold price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- US gas prices this week
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
- Ohio gas prices tomorrow
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- Texas gas prices tomorrow
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will I get a Gold Medal on USAMO 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 57% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will I get a Gold Medal on USAMO 2027? resolve?
- Will I get a Gold Medal on USAMO 2027? is scheduled to resolve on March 21, 2027.
- How is Will I get a Gold Medal on USAMO 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: I am male and I will be a junior next year, aiming for USAMO gold.