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Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 5:41 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Yes 54.8%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleDec 11, 22, 6:03 AM UTCNov 11, 32, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This question resolves after an AI first gets IMO Gold, when a paper or preprint is first published describing the functioning of the algorithm.
- It resolves YES if that paper cites the paper "A general reinforcement learning algorithm that masters chess, shogi, and Go through self-play", by Silver et al.
- I will default to whatever version of the paper has been most recently released two weeks after the announcement of the achievement of the gold medal.
- Close date updated to 2032-11-11 3:59 pm
