Current community forecast
No 67%
Forecasters
79
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 8, 26, 10:46 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWhich AI lab will be the first to solve a millennium prize problem?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketAnother Frontier Math Problem Solved by which date?
PolymarketWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, between September 9, 2026, and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC, a proposed solution for at least one of the remaining five Millennium Prize Problems is formally announced or published.
- The five eligible problems for this market are:
- The Riemann Hypothesis
- Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap
- The Hodge Conjecture
Open markets
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-2.1pt58%
- ChatGPT-3.3pt21%
- Grok+0.6pt8%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.7M
- 24h Vol
- $101.3K
POLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+7.5pt76%
- 2026+27.5pt48%
- September 30, 2026+10.0pt19%
KALSHIWhat will Spotify CEO say during Goldman Sachs Communacopia?
- Anthropic / Claude+27.0pt99%
- Video+27.0pt99%
- Royalty / Licensing+63.0pt99%
+14 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba-3.0pt69.7%
- Moonshot-1.1pt25.3%
- Z.ai+1.8pt3%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.5pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 4.1%+8.0pt99%
- Above 3.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.2%99%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $52.5K
- What will Macy's say during their next earnings call?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic market share this week
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- OpenAI market share this week
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 67% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026? resolve?
- Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria