PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
2027 59%Leader of 3 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$22.6K
Liquidity
$11.8K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 4:00 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI, or an official representative of OpenAI, announces that OpenAI has solved any of the qualifying Millennium Prize Problems between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/).
- Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.
- A qualifying announcement must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify.
- The announcement must present the solution as the work of OpenAI, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers.