KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Above 26.1% · —
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Stored price
Above 28.9% 51.5%Market line of 9 lines
Above 28.9% 51.5%Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$13.1K
Open interest
$30.2K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 26.1%Spread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 26, 26, 6:00 PM UTCNov 2, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 26.1%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If DeepSeek scores above 28.9% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:OpenRouter - AI Market Share
- This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated market share values reported by OpenRouter, rounded to one decimal place, for the week of Oct 26, 2026. If the named model author’s market share is not separately identified in the source chart, including if it is included in “Others,” all markets in the event will resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing benchmark. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 26.1%
- If DeepSeek scores above 26.1% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 26.4%
- If DeepSeek scores above 26.4% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 25.8%
- If DeepSeek scores above 25.8% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 23.9%
- If DeepSeek scores above 23.9% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 25.1%
- If DeepSeek scores above 25.1% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 26.7%
- If DeepSeek scores above 26.7% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 27.0%
- If DeepSeek scores above 27.0% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 27.8%
- If DeepSeek scores above 27.8% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 28.9%
- If DeepSeek scores above 28.9% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.