KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 13.5% (99%)
Resolved: Oct 31, 2026, 4:45 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Above 13.5%
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
69%
ConsensusData quality warningSource data degradedStale data
Data as of Oct 31, 2026, 1:47 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Above 13.5%86%
Above 13.8%44%
Above 14.3%4%
Above 13.1%80%
Above 15.7%1%
Above 12.7%98%
Above 12.4%0%
Above 11.9%91%
Above 11.3%87%
Above 13.5%Won
Above 13.8%Lost
Above 14.3%Lost
Above 13.1%Lost
Above 12.7%Lost
Above 12.4%Lost
Above 11.9%Lost
Above 11.3%Lost
Above 15.7%Lost
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PolymarketRules
If the DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Oct 30, 2026 is above 13.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards - Labs
- This event resolves using the DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 31, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 30, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 13.5%
- If the DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Oct 30, 2026 is above 13.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 13.8%
- If the DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Oct 30, 2026 is above 13.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 14.3%
- If the DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Oct 30, 2026 is above 14.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 13.1%
- If the DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Oct 30, 2026 is above 13.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 12.7%
- If the DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Oct 30, 2026 is above 12.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 12.4%
- If the DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Oct 30, 2026 is above 12.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 11.9%
- If the DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Oct 30, 2026 is above 11.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 11.3%
- If the DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Oct 30, 2026 is above 11.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 15.7%
- If the DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Oct 30, 2026 is above 15.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.