Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Other 15.1%Leader of 100 outcomes
Other 15.1%Forecasters
1,288
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleAug 21, 24, 7:36 PM UTCDec 31, 99, 5:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1826340260735058400
- This market is specifically on whom the above tweet is referring to, regardless of whether the interview occurs.
