Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Other 16%Leader of 100 outcomes
Forecasters
1,288
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleAug 21, 24, 7:36 PM UTCDec 31, 99, 5:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1826340260735058400
- This market is specifically on whom the above tweet is referring to, regardless of whether the interview occurs.
Open markets
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+3 more outcomes
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- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
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+4 more outcomes
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+5 more outcomes
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- 1500+-0.5pt28%
+2 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"??
- Manifold Markets prices Other at 16% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"? resolve?
- Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 9999.
- How is Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1826340260735058400