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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Will "Increasing returns to effort are common" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Manifold Markets

Will "Increasing returns to effort are common" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

One-OffAITechSociety & Culture7mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Yes 14.8%
Forecasters

2

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 9 days ago

Stale
Mar 3, 26, 11:03 PMFeb 1, 27, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes15%

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Manifold Markets

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Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Manifold Markets