Will Manifold agree that Dwarkesh's upcoming guest is "by far [his] biggest yet"? (Resolves to poll)
One-OffEntertainment1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 76.8%
Forecasters
96
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
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Updated 14 hours ago
StaleAug 22, 24, 4:55 PM UTCAug 20, 28, 6:59 AM UTC
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For context, see this tweet.
- Within the next few months, I'm going to be releasing an episode with by far my biggest guest yet.
- If you're interesting in sponsoring it, shoot me an email at [email protected]
- See: @/DylanBowman/who-is-dwarkeshs-upcoming-biggest-g
- Once that market resolves, I will close this one and run a poll for one week, using the [NAME] that it resolved to.
- The phrasing will be something along the lines of "Do you agree that [NAME] is 'by far the biggest guest yet' on Dwarkesh's podcast?", with options "Agree" and "Disagree".