KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Jack Lowden 50%+5.0ptLeader of 30 outcomes
Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$39.8K
Liquidity
$1M
High liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jun 26, 25, 5:00 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as the villain
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KalshiNext James Bond film: Actor cast as M
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the named outcome is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Variety
- This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Next James Bond actor? · Jack Lowden 39%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Next James Bond? (Including actually likely answers) · Jack Lowden 29%
Open markets
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+9 more outcomes
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+14 more outcomes
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- Above 45-1.0pt98%
- Above 50-1.0pt96%
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+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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+4 more outcomes
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- No+2.5pt69.3%
- Yes-2.5pt30.7%
- Total Vol
- $429.8K
- 24h Vol
- $39.7K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond?
- Kalshi prices Jack Lowden at 50% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond resolve?
- Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket, Manifold Markets.