Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastJack Lowden 29.3%Leader of 23 outcomes
Forecasters
36
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+8.7 pts
Market data
Updated 20 hours ago
StaleJun 27, 25, 11:58 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
0.5%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Next James Bond movie (#26) [Mega Independent] / Prop bets:
Manifold MarketsNext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
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Manifold MarketsNext James Bond film: Artist performing the James Bond Theme
KalshiNext James Bond film: Actor cast as the villain
KalshiWho will play the next James Bond?
Manifold MarketsRules
Should be self-explanatory.
- Feel free to ask questions in the comments.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Next James Bond actor? · Jack Lowden 39%
- Also available on Kalshi — Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond · Jack Lowden 50%
Open markets
EntertainmentKALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey-1.0pt50%
- Dune: Part Three13%
- The Black Ball11%
+36 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5M
- 24h Vol
- $104.5K
KALSHITop US Netflix Show this week?
- Crew Girl: Season 142.6%
- Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1+16.0pt31.1%
- NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs Rams12.3%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $66.4K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+1.0pt24.8%
- Dee Valladares+4.0pt16.5%
- Barrett Pfeiffer13.8%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4.8M
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-1.0pt98%
- Above 50-1.0pt96%
- Above 55-5.0pt83%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $356.5K
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- 80-90M+33.0pt76%
- 70-80M-34.0pt23%
- 90M+-1.3pt1%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+4.0pt49%
- Callum Turner+1.0pt25%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt12%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- The Uprising · Rotten Tomatoes score
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 10, 2026
- Primetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Next James Bond actor?
- Practical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 10, 2026
- How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Next James Bond? (Including actually likely answers)?
- Manifold Markets prices Jack Lowden at 29% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Next James Bond? (Including actually likely answers) resolve?
- Next James Bond? (Including actually likely answers) is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2029.
- How is Next James Bond? (Including actually likely answers) settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Should be self-explanatory.
- Where else is Next James Bond? (Including actually likely answers) listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket, Kalshi.