Entertainment | Prediction Markets

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

6mo

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

-0.5%56%

Toy Story 5

-0.5%19%

Avengers: Doomsday

16%

+25 more outcomes

73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$10.9M

24h Vol$118.7K

POLYMARKET

What will happen before GTA VI?

1mo

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire

-27.5%100%

Drake releases Iceman

+0.6%100%

New Playboi Carti Album

+1.0%53%

+7 more outcomes

100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$22.6M

24h Vol$5.6K

POLYMARKET

Next James Bond actor?

18d

No Bond chosen

-3.5%85%

Callum Turner

+7.6%10%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

-0.5%1%

+28 more outcomes

73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$3M

24h Vol$11K

POLYMARKET

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

0.1%2y

Graham Platner

+0.1%1%

Wes Moore

-0.2%2%

Hunter Biden

-0.2%2%

+22 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$1.2M

24h Vol$4.6K

KALSHI

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

0.5%6mo

Avengers: Doomsday

73%

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

16%

The Odyssey

-0.1%5%

+24 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$1.6M

24h Vol$3K

POLYMARKET

Highest Domestically Grossing May Film on June 30?

8.6%18d

Obsession

+6.5%81%

Devil Wears Prada 2

-8.6%15%

Movie B

+13 more outcomes

73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$184.6K

24h Vol$24.3K

POLYMARKET

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

Yes

31.4%

68.6%

Community forecast4,478 forecastersType: binary

Total Vol$12.3M

24h Vol$8.3K

MANIFOLD MARKETS

"Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office

32.5%4d

>47m

+32.5%62%

43-47m

-19.0%32%

39-43m

-12.5%8%

+2 more outcomes

73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$19.1K

24h Vol$14.4K

POLYMARKET

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

0.5%18d

June 30

-0.5%61%

June 22

-0.5%36%

June 15

-0.5%19%

+1 more outcomes

80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$457.2K

24h Vol$3.6K

POLYMARKET

2028 Republican presidential nominee

Eric Trump

Donald J. Trump

+0.1%3%

Elon Musk

+22 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$472.6K

24h Vol$677.2

KALSHI

Bachelorette Season 22 Winner

0.2%5mo

Other (Season Cancelled)

-1.5%88%

Doug Mason

+1.1%9%

Aaron Kahng

+0.1%1%

+46 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$2.4M

24h Vol$303.4

POLYMARKET

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

5.5%5mo

Yes

-0.1%19%

+0.1%82%

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$403.3K

24h Vol$1.8K

POLYMARKET

Top Spotify Artist 2026

0.1%6mo

Bad Bunny

+1.5%74%

Drake

-0.4%14%

Taylor Swift

+0.3%5%

+43 more outcomes

56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$1.3M

24h Vol$110.8

POLYMARKET

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

2.2%5d

Office Romance

+49.6%96%

Movie D

50%

Movie G

50%

+16 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$4.8K

24h Vol$3.6K

POLYMARKET

What will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit in June 2026?

3.5%20d

↓ $85

+5.0%100%

↓ $80

-3.5%74%

↓ $75

+1.0%26%

+11 more outcomes

68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$9.9K

24h Vol$1.2K

POLYMARKET

How many straight weeks will Iceman be #1?

2.0%6mo

More than 4 weeks

-2.0%6%

More than 5 weeks

-2.0%3%

More than 6 weeks

-1.0%4%

+5 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$13K

24h Vol$1.5K

KALSHI

Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?

0.7%2mo

Yes

+0.0%2%

-0.0%98%

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$229.9K

24h Vol$636.3

POLYMARKET

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

8mo

Yes

93%

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$156.4K

24h Vol$607.7

POLYMARKET

Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?

0.5%6mo

Selena Gomez

+0.5%89%

Brittany Mahomes

87%

Patrick Mahomes

85%

+12 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$305.9K

24h Vol$478.7

POLYMARKET

What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?

Trump bans abortion nationwide

5.5%

Trump bans Lab-grown meat nationwide

11%

Trump bans all vaccines nationwide

1.6%

+248 more outcomes

Community forecast1,629 forecastersType: multiple choice

Total Vol$1M

24h Vol$102.9

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Chirayu Rana divorced?

0.1%18d

Yes

100%

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$91K

24h Vol$455.2

POLYMARKET

Will the Red-Haired Pirates be revealed to be the Holy Knights all along?

9mo

Yes, the Red-Haired Pirates ARE the holy knights

1.7%

No, they are not the holy knights nor do they have any affiliation (besides Garling)

2.2%

Shanks is the only holy knight (past member or current member) from the Red-Haired Pirates

89.7%

+2 more outcomes

Community forecast42 forecastersType: multiple choice

Total Vol$45K

24h Vol$901.1

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

7.0%6d

Show A

50%

Show D

50%

Show K

50%

+19 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$2K

24h Vol$1.2K

POLYMARKET

Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by June 30?

0.1%18d

485m

+0.1%100%

488m

+0.1%100%

491m

100%

+3 more outcomes

79 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$77.5K

24h Vol$358.2

POLYMARKET

Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in June?

0.1%18d

Taylor Swift

+3.1%100%

Ariana Grande

+36.0%100%

Olivia Rodrigo

-1.4%97%

+11 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$39.7K

24h Vol$369.1

POLYMARKET

Love Island USA: Winning Couple

1.0%2mo

Aniya and KC

+1.0%29%

Trinity and Bryce

+12.0%20%

Kenzie and Caleb

+4.0%12%

+22 more outcomes

68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$9.7K

24h Vol$916.8

KALSHI

Where will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s Wedding occur?

Rhode Island

20%

New York

-6.0%75%

Tennessee

+2 more outcomes

68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$16K

24h Vol$339

KALSHI

"Disclosure Day" Rotten Tomatoes score?

13.0%4d

Above 87

-13.0%1%

Above 85

-37.0%2%

Above 80

-26.0%65%

+21 more outcomes

56 • Medium qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$8.2K

24h Vol$2.7K

KALSHI

Who will win Masters Season 38?

20d

Mochi

11.3%

Brad

4.4%

Tripping

0.8%

+26 more outcomes

Community forecast18 forecastersType: multiple choice

Total Vol$10.8K

24h Vol$1.1K

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Netflix (NFLX) closes week of Jun 8 at ___?

0.6%1d

$80-$90

68%

$70-$80

-2.0%30%

$60-$70

+9.4%10%

+8 more outcomes

56 • Medium qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$2.8K

24h Vol$714.3

POLYMARKET

TIME Person of the Year 2026

11.0%6mo

Zohran Mamdani

+28.5%38%

Christina Koch

-0.5%37%

Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf

+1.5%36%

+19 more outcomes

56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$1.3K

24h Vol$109.4

POLYMARKET

What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

23.0%6d

The Witness

+35.0%60%

Show E

50%

Show I

50%

+19 more outcomes

56 • Medium qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$4.1K

24h Vol$2.2K

POLYMARKET

Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?

0.7%6mo

Avengers: Doomsday

-1.0%73%

Toy Story 5

+11.5%13%

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

+3.0%12%

+33 more outcomes

56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$20.7K

24h Vol$169.4

POLYMARKET

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of June 8 above___?

5.5%1d

$20

98%

$30

98%

$70

+3.5%96%

+10 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$3.4K

24h Vol$402

POLYMARKET

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of June 20

0.3%5d

I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift

99%

Song A

50%

Song C

50%

+19 more outcomes

56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$11.4K

24h Vol$190.5

POLYMARKET

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

58.5%5d

Office Romance

+58.5%86%

Movie I

50%

Movie A

50%

+20 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$2.2K

24h Vol$1.3K

POLYMARKET

How many movies will gross >$1 billion in 2026?

6mo

0-3

4.9%

11.1%

33.2%

+3 more outcomes

Community forecast11 forecastersType: multiple choice

Total Vol$3.4K

24h Vol$1.4K

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which artists will release new albums in 2026?

4.5%6mo

Nettspend

-0.4%100%

Harry Styles

100%

Drake

+0.9%100%

+19 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$211.3K

24h Vol$110.3

POLYMARKET

What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

16.0%6d

Show B

50%

Show C

50%

Show J

50%

+19 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$1.8K

24h Vol$1.1K

POLYMARKET

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

3.0%7mo

Dune: Part Three

80%

Project Hail Mary

-15.5%75%

The Odyssey

-3.0%69%

+11 more outcomes

68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$1.7K

24h Vol$287.9

POLYMARKET

Who will be my most Streamed Spotify Artist 2026?

6mo

Ufo361

47%

Paula Hartmann

26.1%

Bonez

19.5%

+7 more outcomes

Community forecast87 forecastersType: multiple choice

Total Vol$95.5K

24h Vol$191.3

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?

6mo

Kathryn Newton as Cassie Lang

+2.3%100%

Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man

-2.5%83%

Hugh Jackman as Wolverine

82%

+17 more outcomes

71 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$44.1K

24h Vol$143.5

POLYMARKET

Elon Musk creates political party before Trump presidency ends?

Yes

8.7%

91.3%

Community forecast93 forecastersType: binary

Total Vol$33.2K

24h Vol$280.2

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce be married this year?

3.0%6mo

Yes

-3.0%90%

10%

79 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$7.8K

24h Vol$382.1

KALSHI

Who will Taylor Swift's bridesmaids be?

6.0%1y

Selena Gomez

-6.0%74%

Ashley Avignone

+4.0%70%

Abigail Anderson

+3.0%69%

+7 more outcomes

68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$3.3K

24h Vol$553.9

POLYMARKET

Oscar for Best Picture?

3.0%1y

The Black Ball

+3.0%6%

The Social Reckoning

The Odyssey

+1.0%31%

+22 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$10.1K

24h Vol$151.1

KALSHI

Who will be the next James Bond?

9.0%3y

Harris Dickinson

+9.0%13%

Jacob Elordi

+4.0%26%

Callum Turner

+4.0%54%

+20 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$10.4K

24h Vol$103.3

KALSHI

Who will have a #1 song on Spotify USA in June?

1.0%20d

Olivia Rodrigo

-1.0%96%

Drake

-2.0%19%

BTS

+22 more outcomes

63 • Medium qualityTight spreadLow liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$4.1K

24h Vol$323

KALSHI