PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 31, 2026, 8:51 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
300-319 · —
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Stored reference
300-319 9.8%Leader of 30 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
300-319 9.8%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$20.3K
Liquidity
$117.8K
High liquidityOpen interest
$8.9K
Bid / Ask
— / —
300-319Spread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleOct 31, 26, 4:00 AM UTCNov 10, 26, 5:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · 300-319
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets in November 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk tweets "Manifold Markets" before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. use a nuclear weapon against Iran’s Pickaxe Mountain between November 4 and November 10, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 3 12:00 PM ET to November 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
- The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
