KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Christopher Nolan 54.4%+2.0ptLeader of 15 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$546.7
Liquidity
$110.2K
High liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Mar 19, 26, 2:00 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Oscar nominees: Best Director
KalshiOscar Winner: Best Picture
KalshiOscar Winner: Best Actor
KalshiOscars 2027: Best Director Winner
PolymarketWill The Invite be nominated for best director for Olivia Wilde?
Manifold MarketsWhich 2026 movie will win the Oscar for Best Animated Feature at the 2027 Oscars
Manifold MarketsRules
If the named outcome has won Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences
- The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars.
- Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.5pt70.6%
- 940 - 950m-17.0pt25.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $371.8K
- 24h Vol
- $113.9K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+26.0pt67%
- Jack Barton-7.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt19%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-5.5pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.6pt9%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $93K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $151.8K
- 24h Vol
- $52.7K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-1.0pt17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Oscar Winner: Best Director?
- Kalshi prices Christopher Nolan at 54% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Oscar Winner: Best Director resolve?
- Oscar Winner: Best Director is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Oscar Winner: Best Director settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome has won Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.