PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 8, 2026, 9:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Ukraine 22%+2.5ptLeader of 18 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$67.7K
High liquiditySpread
2.9 pt
Moderate spreadComments
2
7d Change
-0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jun 9, 26, 5:26 PM UTCOct 25, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which country will win the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026?
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PolymarketWhich country will win Eurovision 2027?
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Manifold MarketsWhich countries will officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?
KalshiGrammy Winner: Best New Artist
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Junior Eurovision 2026 wins.
- If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Junior Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
- If no winner is announced by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other".
- All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Junior Eurovision rules.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Junior Eurovision (https://junioreurovision.tv/), including live footage of Junior Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Open markets
MusicPOLYMARKETKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- No-22.5pt57%
- Yes+22.5pt43%
- Total Vol
- $379K
- 24h Vol
- $40.9K
KALSHITop Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 8, 2026
- Dai Dai87.6%
- SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video)0.9%
- Yeshanagula | The Paradise | Nani | Keerthy Suresh | Anirudh Ravichander | Srikanth Odela0.9%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $46K
KALSHITaylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Above 13.4M+1.0pt99%
- Above 13.6M+1.0pt99%
- Above 13.5M+1.0pt99%
+28 more outcomes
KALSHIBad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Above 25.5M99%
- Above 22M+2.0pt99%
- Above 22.5M+1.0pt99%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $14.9K
KALSHITop Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 9, 2026
- Dai Dai31%
- Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip1%
- Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu)1%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $11.3K
- 24h Vol
KALSHIRunner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 8, 2026
- Choosin' Texas78.1%
- Dai Dai7.6%
- Sunflower+1.0pt1.9%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.4K
- KATSEYE: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 9, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 8, 2026
- Fuerza Regida: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- #2 US Spotify Song 2026
- Morgan Wallen: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 9, 2026
- Ariana Grande: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Grammys 2027: Song of the Year Winner
- Will Drake release a new album by which date?
- Justin Bieber: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Junior Eurovision Winner 2026?
- Polymarket prices Ukraine at 22% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Junior Eurovision Winner 2026 resolve?
- Junior Eurovision Winner 2026 is scheduled to resolve on October 25, 2026.
- How is Junior Eurovision Winner 2026 settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Junior Eurovision 2026 wins.