Music | Prediction Markets

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

0.1%2y

Graham Platner

+0.1%1%

Wes Moore

-0.2%2%

Hunter Biden

-0.1%2%

+22 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$1.2M

24h Vol$4.3K

KALSHI

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

0.5%18d

June 30

-1.0%61%

June 22

-0.5%36%

June 15

-0.5%19%

+1 more outcomes

80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$457.2K

24h Vol$4.7K

POLYMARKET

2028 Republican presidential nominee

Eric Trump

Donald J. Trump

-0.2%3%

Elon Musk

+22 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$472.5K

24h Vol$674

KALSHI

Top Spotify Artist 2026

0.1%6mo

Bad Bunny

+1.0%73%

Drake

-1.3%14%

Taylor Swift

+0.2%5%

+43 more outcomes

56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$1.3M

24h Vol$110.8

POLYMARKET

How many straight weeks will Iceman be #1?

2.0%6mo

More than 4 weeks

-2.0%6%

More than 5 weeks

-2.0%2%

More than 6 weeks

+1.0%4%

+5 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$12.9K

24h Vol$1.4K

KALSHI

Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?

0.6%2mo

Yes

+0.0%2%

-0.0%98%

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$229.9K

24h Vol$621.2

POLYMARKET

Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?

6mo

Selena Gomez

89%

Brittany Mahomes

87%

Patrick Mahomes

85%

+12 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$305.8K

24h Vol$448.7

POLYMARKET

What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?

Trump bans abortion nationwide

5.5%

Trump bans Lab-grown meat nationwide

11%

Trump bans all vaccines nationwide

1.6%

+248 more outcomes

Community forecast1,629 forecastersType: multiple choice

Total Vol$1M

24h Vol$102.9

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

0.1%6mo

Bad Bunny

+1.1%100%

Harry Styles

+6.0%100%

Olivia Rodrigo

+34.3%100%

+25 more outcomes

79 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$153.4K

24h Vol$309.4

POLYMARKET

[ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?

6mo

Yes

26.8%

73.2%

Community forecast384 forecastersType: binary

Total Vol$251.3K

24h Vol$250

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in June?

0.2%18d

Taylor Swift

+3.1%100%

Ariana Grande

+36.0%100%

Olivia Rodrigo

-1.4%97%

+11 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$39.7K

24h Vol$355.1

POLYMARKET

How many weeks will ICEMAN be No.1 on the Billboard 200?

0.3%1mo

+0.3%100%

-0.1%0%

+2 more outcomes

83 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$56.7K

24h Vol$178.9

POLYMARKET

Olivia Rodrigo 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' First Week Album Sales?

0.1%7d

300k-350k

-1.0%39%

350k-400k

+15.0%36%

250k-300k

-6.5%16%

+4 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$5.8K

24h Vol$491.7

POLYMARKET

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of June 20

0.3%5d

I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift

99%

Song A

50%

Song C

50%

+19 more outcomes

56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$11.4K

24h Vol$190.5

POLYMARKET

Which artists will release new albums in 2026?

5.5%6mo

Nettspend

-0.4%100%

Harry Styles

100%

Drake

+0.9%100%

+19 more outcomes

60 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$211.3K

24h Vol$110.3

POLYMARKET

Who will be my most Streamed Spotify Artist 2026?

6mo

Ufo361

47%

Paula Hartmann

26.1%

Bonez

19.5%

+7 more outcomes

Community forecast87 forecastersType: multiple choice

Total Vol$95.5K

24h Vol$191.3

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Elon Musk creates political party before Trump presidency ends?

Yes

8.7%

91.3%

Community forecast93 forecastersType: binary

Total Vol$33.2K

24h Vol$280.2

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Who will Taylor Swift's bridesmaids be?

6.0%1y

Selena Gomez

-6.0%74%

Ashley Avignone

+4.0%70%

Abigail Anderson

-0.5%66%

+7 more outcomes

68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$3.3K

24h Vol$552.7

POLYMARKET

Who will have a #1 song on Spotify USA in June?

1.0%20d

Olivia Rodrigo

-1.0%96%

Drake

-3.0%17%

BTS

+22 more outcomes

63 • Medium qualityTight spreadLow liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$4.1K

24h Vol$326.6

KALSHI

2026 Song of the Summer

2mo

Song G

50%

Song Y

50%

Other

50%

+34 more outcomes

36 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$267

24h Vol$267

POLYMARKET

Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

3mo

Željka Cvijanović

76%

Nebojša Vukanović

Branko Blanuša

-3.7%7%

+29 more outcomes

49 • Low qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$19.1K

24h Vol$0

POLYMARKET

Top Spotify artist in June?

1.0%18d

Bruno Mars

+1.0%91%

Justin Bieber

-2.1%5%

Taylor Swift

+0.3%3%

+37 more outcomes

72 • Medium qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$12.8K

24h Vol$6.2

POLYMARKET

Billboard #1 Artist 2026

5.3%6mo

Luke Combs

+14.3%36%

The Weeknd

-17.6%26%

Post Malone

-14.7%26%

+31 more outcomes

40 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$128K

24h Vol$0

POLYMARKET

Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

0.4%6mo

Edmundo González

+0.4%5%

Delcy Rodríguez

-3.0%19%

Nicolás Maduro

+2.0%75%

+15 more outcomes

71 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$48.2K

24h Vol$69.2

KALSHI

Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?

18d

Yes

99%

40 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$123.5K

24h Vol$0

POLYMARKET

Will Olivia Rodrigo release a new original album by...?

18.0%2mo

August 31

100%

June 12

-18.0%80%

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$14.1K

24h Vol$89.6

POLYMARKET

2028 Democratic VP nominee

0.1%2y

Mark Kelly

+0.1%5%

Pete Buttigieg

+1.3%8%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

+1.1%8%

+22 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$18.1K

24h Vol$12.3

KALSHI

Eurovision 2027 City

0.5%6mo

Sofia

+0.5%89%

Burgas

Varna

+0.3%3%

+13 more outcomes

49 • Low qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$11.2K

24h Vol$0

POLYMARKET

2028 Republican VP nominee

Nikki Haley

Donald J. Trump Jr.

Marco Rubio

24%

+18 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$11.1K

24h Vol$1.1

KALSHI

Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of June 20

0.1%5d

Iceman - Drake

+0.1%99%

Album A

50%

Album B

50%

+18 more outcomes

71 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$2.8K

24h Vol$35.4

POLYMARKET

Which artists will release a new song in 2026?

8.6%6mo

Drake

+0.9%100%

Lana Del Rey

+0.3%100%

BTS

100%

+12 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$121.5K

24h Vol$39

POLYMARKET

Top Spotify Album 2026

8.0%6mo

The Fall-Off - J-Cole

30%

Bully - Ye

25%

Dandelion - Ella Langley

-0.8%22%

+50 more outcomes

40 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$1.1K

24h Vol$0

POLYMARKET

Eurovision 2027 Participants

2.5%6mo

Germany

+0.5%94%

Italy

-0.5%94%

Austria

93%

+11 more outcomes

40 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$1.5K

24h Vol$0

POLYMARKET

Who will have a #1 song on Spotify Global in June?

20d

Michael Jackson

99%

Olivia Rodrigo

+6.0%83%

BTS

-18.0%58%

+22 more outcomes

49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$931

24h Vol$102.6

KALSHI

Top Artist on Spotify U.S. in 2026?

2.0%6mo

Taylor Swift

+2.0%15%

Kendrick Lamar

Bad Bunny

-4.0%8%

+13 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$4.3K

24h Vol$83.7

KALSHI

Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?

0.5%18d

Yes

+0.0%6%

94%

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$7.3K

24h Vol$10.1

POLYMARKET

Which artists will have #1 hits in June?

0.5%18d

Taylor Swift

+2.0%100%

Ariana Grande

+3.1%100%

Olivia Rodrigo

-9.5%77%

+11 more outcomes

44 • Low qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$6.8K

24h Vol$0

POLYMARKET

Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?

4.0%6mo

2026

+4.0%32%

2025

March 31, 2026

+0.7%0%

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$2M

24h Vol$57.2

POLYMARKET

Top artist on Spotify in 2026?

2.0%6mo

Drake

+2.0%13%

Bruno Mars

+1.0%3%

Bad Bunny

-1.0%77%

+7 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$4.2K

24h Vol$42.3

KALSHI

Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?

1.0%6mo

Yes

-0.0%71%

+0.0%29%

60 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$3.7K

24h Vol$13.7

POLYMARKET

Taylor Swift Top 10 Spots — Billboard Hot 100 (Jun 20, 2026)

Exactly 1 song

99%

Exactly 0 songs

Exactly 2 songs

-1.0%1%

+8 more outcomes

49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$2.8K

24h Vol$53.4

KALSHI

Which songs will be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in June?

16d

I Knew It, I Knew You

99%

Choosin' Texas

-4.0%64%

the cure

-3.0%5%

+3 more outcomes

49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$3.5K

24h Vol$44.5

KALSHI

Who will headline Lollapalooza Chicago 2026?

2.0%6mo

The Weeknd

-2.0%1%

Lorde

+1.0%94%

Post Malone

-1.0%3%

+13 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$5K

24h Vol$1.3

KALSHI

Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 20, 2026?

Ran To Atlanta

Whisper My Name

Risk It All

+19 more outcomes

32 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$1.7K

24h Vol$83.5

KALSHI

2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?

1.0%3y

Republican Sweep

-1.0%26%

Democratic Sweep

-1.0%44%

D-House, D-Senate, R-President

+5 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$2.5K

24h Vol$31

KALSHI

Who will release a new album in 2026?

14.0%6mo

Kodak Black

+14.0%94%

Gracie Abrams

99%

Beyoncé

-15.0%64%

+22 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$2.9K

24h Vol$20.7

KALSHI

Who will have a #1 album this year?

2.0%6mo

Ariana Grande

-2.0%91%

Olivia Rodrigo

97%

Kanye West / Ye

-7.0%17%

+22 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$3.7K

24h Vol$2.9

KALSHI

Will the Jones Act be repealed or significantly eased by the end of the next presidency?

Yes

54.1%

45.9%

Community forecast26 forecastersType: binary

Total Vol$4.8K

24h Vol$0

MANIFOLD MARKETS