Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

MusicOne-Off6mo

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee

Current implied probability

Bad Bunny 100%+1.1%

Leader of 28 outcomes

Market quality

79 / 100

High quality

24h Volume

$309.4

Liquidity

$12.6K

Medium liquidity

Bid / Ask

96.9% / 99.6%

Spread

2.8%

Tight spread

7d Change

+47.8%

Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Jan 9, 26, 9:31 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Ariana Grande98%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026.
If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them.
Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count.
Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.

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Rules

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026.
If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them.
Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count.
Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

MusicOne-Off6mo

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee

Current implied probability

Bad Bunny 100%+1.1%

Leader of 28 outcomes

Market quality

79 / 100

High quality

24h Volume

$309.4

Liquidity

$12.6K

Medium liquidity

Bid / Ask

96.9% / 99.6%

Spread

2.8%

Tight spread

7d Change

+47.8%

Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Jan 9, 26, 9:31 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Ariana Grande98%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026.
If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them.
Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count.
Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.

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Rules

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026.
If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them.
Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count.
Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.