PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Ariana Grande 100%+1.9ptLeader of 28 outcomes
Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$383.8
Liquidity
$3.8K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
3
7d Change
-2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jan 9, 26, 9:29 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026.
- If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them.
- Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count.
- Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
