PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 4:27 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Avengers: Doomsday · —
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Stored reference
Avengers: Doomsday 55%Leader of 12 outcomes
Avengers: Doomsday 55%Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.7K
Liquidity
$110.1K
High liquidityOpen interest
$170.1K
Bid / Ask
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Avengers: DoomsdaySpread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+2.5 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingNov 12, 25, 10:23 PM UTCFeb 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
MichaelLost
Before close: 0% ·
Project Hail MaryLost
Before close: 0% ·
Scream 7Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and GroguLost
Before close: 0% ·
The OdysseyLost
Before close: 0% ·
The Super Mario Galaxy MovieLost
Before close: 0% ·
Toy Story 5Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Wuthering HeightsLost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Avengers: Doomsday
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which movie has 3rd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
PolymarketWhich movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Polymarket"Avengers: Doomsday" breaks the record for the biggest opening weekend of all time?
Manifold MarketsWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Polymarket"Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office
PolymarketWhich movies will have between $50M and $100M in the 2026 US opening weekend (FSS)?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026.
- The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026? · Avengers: Doomsday 52%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — What will be the movie with the greatest opening weekend in the US in 2026? (FSS) · Avengers: Doomsday 55%
