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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Entertainment
  3. Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

0.1% (24h)EntertainmentOne-Off6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Avengers: Doomsday
Avengers: Doomsday 73%
Leader of 27 outcomes
Market quality

64 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$2.3K

Liquidity

$123.6K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

0.2% / 0.7%

Spread

250.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

-0.2%

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Nov 12, 25, 10:33 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Scream 7
Scream 7
0%

Selected outcome

Avengers: Doomsday73%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026.

Polymarket
  • The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
  • Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.

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Rules

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026.

Polymarket
  • The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
  • Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.