PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAvengers: Doomsday 66%-6.0%Leader of 27 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$13K
Liquidity
$132.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
65.0% / 66.0%
Spread
1.5%
Tight spread7d Change
-5.0%
Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Nov 12, 25, 10:23 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Avengers: Doomsday66%
Compare venues· Avengers: Doomsday
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volumeAlso available on Polymarket
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
0.1%5mo
88%
13%
+0.1%1%
+33 more outcomes
56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$31.6K
24h Vol$36.1
POLYMARKET
Also available on Manifold Markets
What will be the movie with the greatest opening weekend in the US in 2026? (FSS)
5mo
+1.5%65%
+1.0%24.4%
+0.1%4.6%
+6 more outcomes
Community forecast15 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026.
- The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
- Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.6k99.9%POLYMARKETWill The Odyssey have the best domestic opening week in 2026? — Nochaosj88yesterday
POLYMARKETWill The Odyssey have the best domestic opening week in 2026? — Nochaosj88yesterday$1.3k99.0%POLYMARKETWill The Odyssey have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? — Noaviato8d ago
POLYMARKETWill The Odyssey have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? — Noaviato8d agoVolume trend
$13.0kJul 225d of dataJul 26
Related Markets
Hungarian Grand Prix Winner
$1.1MOscar Piastri: 5%
KALSHI
KALSHI
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
$670.4KJon Ossoff: 15%KALSHI
KALSHI
What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?
$182KBeast: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
"The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office
$78.9K86-92m: 84%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will happen before GTA VI?
$64.5KRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
$59.2KDecember 31: 28%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Rules
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026.
- The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
- Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.