PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Toy Story 5 93.1%Leader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$284.4
Liquidity
$32.6K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+6.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jul 23, 26, 3:40 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
PolymarketWhich movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
PolymarketWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
PolymarketWhich movies will have between $50M and $100M in the 2026 US opening weekend (FSS)?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the movie with the greatest opening weekend in the US in 2026? (FSS)
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the top 10 movies in the US in 2026 with the greatest opening weekend (FSS)?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the third-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026.
- The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross.
- If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles.
