PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Avengers: Doomsday 53%+5.5ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$753.6
Liquidity
$16.6K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-7.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jul 23, 26, 3:27 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
PolymarketWhich movie has 3rd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
PolymarketWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
PolymarketWhich movies will have between $50M and $100M in the 2026 US opening weekend (FSS)?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the movie with the greatest opening weekend in the US in 2026? (FSS)
Manifold MarketsWill "Digger" earn more than $25M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026.
- The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross.
- If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles.
