PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Avengers: Doomsday 63.9%Leader of 9 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$5.7K
Liquidity
$45.9K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
9
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Apr 16, 26, 7:20 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026.
- The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? · Spider-Man: Brand New Day 54%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — What will be the movie with the greatest opening weekend in the US in 2026? (FSS) · Spider-Man: Brand New Day 98%
Open markets
Entertainment
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey-2.0pt51%
- Dune: Part Three13%
- The Black Ball+1.0pt11%
+36 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.1M
- 24h Vol
- $73.9K
KALSHITop US Netflix Show this week?
- Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1+32.0pt45.3%
- Crew Girl: Season 135%
- NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs Rams8.6%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $71.8K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 27+7.0pt99%
- Above 25+3.0pt99%
- Above 32+32.0pt97%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $165.2K
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 50+1.0pt97%
- Above 45-3.0pt96%
- Above 55-2.0pt90%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $365K
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+11.5pt71%
- 940 - 950m-8.5pt26%
- 960 - 970m+0.6pt2%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- 80-90M+21.0pt78%
- 70-80M-21.4pt21%
- 90M+-0.6pt1%
+4 more outcomes
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- The Uprising · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Next James Bond actor?
- Top US Netflix Movie this week?
- The Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
- Primetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 10, 2026
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026??
- Polymarket prices Avengers: Doomsday at 64% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026? resolve?
- Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026.
- Where else is Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket, Manifold Markets.