PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAvengers: Doomsday 88%-0.5%Leader of 36 outcomes
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$36.1
Liquidity
$33.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
0.1% / 0.7%
Spread
600.0%
Wide spread7d Change
+0.1%
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Apr 16, 26, 7:20 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Avengers: Doomsday88%
Compare venues· Avengers: Doomsday
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Manifold Markets
What will be the movie with the greatest opening weekend in the US in 2026? (FSS)
5mo
+1.5%65%
+1.0%24.4%
+0.1%4.6%
+6 more outcomes
Community forecast15 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Polymarket
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
6.0%5mo
-6.0%66%
+5.5%34%
-0.7%1%
+24 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.8M
24h Vol$12.9K
POLYMARKETRules
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026.
- The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
- Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.6k99.9%POLYMARKETWill The Odyssey have the best domestic opening week in 2026? — Nochaosj88yesterday
POLYMARKETWill The Odyssey have the best domestic opening week in 2026? — Nochaosj88yesterday$1.3k99.0%POLYMARKETWill The Odyssey have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? — Noaviato8d ago
POLYMARKETWill The Odyssey have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? — Noaviato8d agoVolume trend
$36Jul 421d of dataJul 26
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Rules
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026.
- The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
- Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.