
Trends
Selected outcome
| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 70% | — | $12K | $868.2K | 17 minutes ago | ||
| — | 37% | — | — | — | 44 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
+11 more outcomes
Rules
If Grand Theft Auto VI has won Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$12.0kRelated Markets

Who will be the top-selling artist by total auction sales in 2026?
$1.9K
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?
$1.8K
Grammy Winner: Best New Artist
$232.9Will AI-generated content be nominated for a major award (like the Oscars or Grammys) by the end of 2026
$230.3[WAY TOO EARLY] Best Picture winner? (2027 Oscars)
$176.3Will the Oscars loosen rules on AI tool use by 2030?
$129Active in these topics
Related News
'The Odyssey' Director Chris Nolan: Young Audiences are Rejecting 'AI Slop'Decrypt
Character.AI Launches (c.ai) Series, Blending Microdramas and ChatBlockchain.NewsRules
If Grand Theft Auto VI has won Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.