What will be the movie with the greatest opening weekend in the US in 2026? (FSS)
EntertainmentOne-Off2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAvengers: Doomsday 54.5%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
20
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleAug 25, 25, 8:54 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves according to which movie Box Office Mojo lists as the #1 OW (opening weekend) film in the United States in 2026 (FSS: clasic Friday to Sunday).
- Resolution criteria
- Resolves to the single film with the highest domestic Opening Weekend (Fri–Sun only) for movies first released in calendar year 2026, as reported by Box Office Mojo (“Opening” column).
- Use Box Office Mojo’s 2026 domestic year page, sorted by Opening, and/or the winning film’s release page.
- Thursday previews count toward Friday per Mojo; four‑day holiday frames are still evaluated on Fri–Sun.
- Ties resolve to whichever title Box Office Mojo lists above the other at resolution time.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? · Avengers: Doomsday 54%
