What will be the movie with the greatest opening weekend in the US in 2026? (FSS)
EntertainmentOne-Off2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAvengers: Doomsday 54.5%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
20
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleAug 25, 25, 8:54 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will be the top 10 movies in the US in 2026 with the greatest opening weekend (FSS)?
Manifold MarketsWhich movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Polymarket"The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office
Polymarket"Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office
Polymarket"Avengers: Doomsday" breaks the record for the biggest opening weekend of all time?
Manifold MarketsWhich movies will have between $50M and $100M in the 2026 US opening weekend (FSS)?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves according to which movie Box Office Mojo lists as the #1 OW (opening weekend) film in the United States in 2026 (FSS: clasic Friday to Sunday).
- Resolution criteria
- Resolves to the single film with the highest domestic Opening Weekend (Fri–Sun only) for movies first released in calendar year 2026, as reported by Box Office Mojo (“Opening” column).
- Use Box Office Mojo’s 2026 domestic year page, sorted by Opening, and/or the winning film’s release page.
- Thursday previews count toward Friday per Mojo; four‑day holiday frames are still evaluated on Fri–Sun.
- Ties resolve to whichever title Box Office Mojo lists above the other at resolution time.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? · Avengers: Doomsday 56%
