Which movies will have between $50M and $100M in the 2026 US opening weekend (FSS)?
EntertainmentAIOne-Off2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastThe Devil Wears Prada 2 100%Leader of 40 outcomes
Forecasters
33
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 50 minutes ago
LaggingFeb 3, 26, 10:00 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- Each answer resolves YES if that film’s domestic (US+Canada) 3‑day opening weekend gross (Fri–Sun) will be between 50M and $100M in the 2026 US Box Office.
- Source of record: the “Opening” figure on Box Office Mojo for each film; if BOM is unavailable or clearly erroneous, will use The Numbers as backup..
- Films that do not open domestically in 2026 resolve NO, (boxofficemojo.com, the-numbers.com)
- Opening weekends that follow Wednesday/Thursday starts are still measured Fri–Sun; Thursday previews folded into Friday are fine.
- Limited-then-wide platforming is rare for these titles; we will still use the BOM “Opening” (first Fri–Sun of release).
