What will be the top 10 movies in the US in 2026 with the greatest opening weekend (FSS)?
Box Office / StreamingEntertainment5moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 12, 2026, 7:29 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastThe Super Mario Galaxy Movie 99%Leader of 11 outcomes
Forecasters
11
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 days ago
StaleAug 21, 25, 1:38 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Avengers: Doomsday95%
Volume trend
$460Jul 112d of dataJul 12
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KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Rules
Resolution criteria
- Each answer resolves YES if that film’s domestic (US+Canada) 3‑day opening weekend gross (Fri–Sun) ranks among the 10 largest for films whose initial domestic theatrical release date falls in calendar year 2026.
- Source of record: the “Opening” figure on Box Office Mojo for each film; if BOM is unavailable or clearly erroneous, use The Numbers as backup.
- Ties for 10th all resolve YES.
- We use unadjusted USD.
- Films that do not open domestically in 2026 resolve NO. “Other” resolves YES if any unlisted film finishes in the top 10; otherwise NO.