PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo 92.1%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.1
Liquidity
$2K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jul 21, 26, 1:06 AMDec 18, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes8%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall95% match · auto | Medium | 90% | +80pt | $810.1 | $25K | 25 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Low | 93% | +83pt | $1.1 | $2K | 5 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?
2.0 pts4mo
90%
-2.0pt10%
71 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$89.8K
24h Vol$810.1
KALSHIRules
Avengers: Doomsday is expected to be released on December 18, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new release date later than the one stated above is officially announced by December 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying announcement must be made through official communication channels of a competent entity such as the studio, distributor, production, or a parent company, or a subsidiary, or authorized representative thereof.
- Resolution will be based on official statements from competent entities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$1Jul 217d of dataJul 27
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Rules
Avengers: Doomsday is expected to be released on December 18, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new release date later than the one stated above is officially announced by December 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying announcement must be made through official communication channels of a competent entity such as the studio, distributor, production, or a parent company, or a subsidiary, or authorized representative thereof.
- Resolution will be based on official statements from competent entities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.