PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 87.1%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.1K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
12.0% / 13.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jul 23, 26, 3:48 PM UTCJun 30, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?
PolymarketWill Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?
PolymarketWill The Batman: Part II be delayed?
PolymarketWill Shrek 5 be released before July 20 2027?
Manifold MarketsAvengers Doomsday to be delayed
Manifold MarketsWill Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be delayed again?
Manifold MarketsRules
Shrek 5 is expected to be released on June 30, 2027.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new release date later than the one stated above is officially announced by June 29, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying announcement must be made through official communication channels of a competent entity such as the studio, distributor, production, or a parent company, or a subsidiary, or authorized representative thereof.
- Resolution will be based on official statements from competent entities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 13%. Quotes span about 9 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference 13% · 2 venues · 9 pt venue spread
Open markets
Box Office / Streaming
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-3.0pt96%
- Above 5095%
- Above 55-7.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $362.1K
- 24h Vol
- $42.3K
POLYMARKETWhat will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
- Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 155%
- Crew Girl: Season 134%
- The Gentlemen: Season 233%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $544.5
KALSHIDisney+ App Downloads in September
- Above 11945%
- Above 123+2.0pt37%
- Above 12929%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $8.2K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETHow many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
- 6M+57%
- 8M+55%
- 12M+53%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $35
KALSHIWild Horse Nine · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+11 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $88.6K
- 24h Vol
- $52.9
KALSHIParamount+ App Downloads in September
- Above 7957%
- Above 82-1.0pt51%
- Above 8351%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $11.8K
- 24h Vol
- Will SHREK 5 be delayed?
- How many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026–27 season?
- Who will be the next Bond girl?
- Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?
- What will be the top grossing movie in the US in 2026?
- Will The Batman: Part II be delayed?
- Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.5 billion worldwide?
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" breaks the record for the biggest domestic lifetime gross of all time?
- Will the re-release of Avenger Endgame Surpass the box office of Supergirl?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Shrek 5 be delayed??
- Polymarket prices No at 87% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Will Shrek 5 be delayed? resolve?
- Will Shrek 5 be delayed? is scheduled to resolve on June 30, 2027.
- How is Will Shrek 5 be delayed? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: Shrek 5 is expected to be released on June 30, 2027.
- Where else is Will Shrek 5 be delayed? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.