PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo 87%+0.0pt
Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$275
Liquidity
$2.4K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
12.0% / 14.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jul 21, 26, 1:08 AMDec 18, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes13%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Medium | 87% | +74pt | $275 | $2.4K | 10 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi89% match · auto | Low | 89% | +76pt | $0 | $658.4 | 30 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?
4mo
89%
11%
46 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$2.4K
24h Vol$0
KALSHIRules
Dune: Part Three is expected to be released on December 18, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new release date later than the one stated above is officially announced by December 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying announcement must be made through official communication channels of a competent entity such as the studio, distributor, production, or a parent company, or a subsidiary, or authorized representative thereof.
- Resolution will be based on official statements from competent entities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$275Jul 217d of dataJul 27
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Rules
Dune: Part Three is expected to be released on December 18, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new release date later than the one stated above is officially announced by December 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying announcement must be made through official communication channels of a competent entity such as the studio, distributor, production, or a parent company, or a subsidiary, or authorized representative thereof.
- Resolution will be based on official statements from competent entities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.