Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94.9%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleNov 24, 23, 9:16 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Disney+ App Downloads in September
KalshiWhen will Pokémon Bank shut down?
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Manifold MarketsWill Disney be acquired by the end of Bob Iger's tenure as CEO?
Manifold MarketsRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiHow many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026–27 season?
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
Box Office / StreamingKALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+12.0pt96%
- Above 50+33.0pt95%
- Above 55+41.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $302.4K
- 24h Vol
- $50.7K
KALSHIParamount+ App Downloads in September
- Above 7957%
- Above 84+42.0pt54%
- Above 8252%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $11.7K
- 24h Vol
KALSHIWild Horse Nine · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+11 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $87.9K
- 24h Vol
- $166.2
KALSHIDisney+ App Downloads in September
- Above 119-8.0pt45%
- Above 12539%
- Above 12736%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.7K
- 24h Vol
KALSHIHow many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026–27 season?
- above 13,500,00090%
- above 13,750,00080%
- above 14,000,00074%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $125.4K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETWill Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?
- No+1.4pt96%
- Yes-1.4pt4%
- Total Vol
- $3.9K
- 24h Vol
- —
- Will Shrek 5 be delayed?
- Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?
- Will "Oasis: Don’t Look Back In Anger" earn more than $22M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their openi
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" passes "Avengers: Endgame"? (>$2.8B worldwide)
- Will Taika Waititi's Star Wars film come out before Grand Theft Auto 6?
- Will there be a "Wicked 3" movie?
- Will the next James Bond (after "No Time To Die") be played by a woman?
- Will a new numbered, mainline Star Wars movie be released before 2027?
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" breaks the record for the biggest domestic lifetime gross of all time?
- Will "The Odyssey" gross >$1 billion worldwide?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Disney+ shut down by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 95% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Disney+ shut down by the end of 2026? resolve?
- Will Disney+ shut down by the end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.