When will Paul Thomas Anderson’s next feature film be released?
EntertainmentBox Office / Streaming4yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast2030 or later 39.5%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleApr 11, 26, 1:18 AM UTCJan 1, 31, 2:16 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Paul Thomas Anderson’s most recent film, One Battle After Another, was released on September 26, 2025, going on to win six Academy Awards including Best Picture and Best Director — PTA’s first career Oscar win.
- This question asks when his next feature film will be released theatrically.
- Resolution criteria:
- • Resolves based on the first theatrical release date (limited or wide) of PTA’s next feature film
- • Must be a narrative feature film directed by PTA
- • Does not count documentary work, short films, or music videos
Open markets
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- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
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- $151.8K
- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will Paul Thomas Anderson’s next feature film be released??
- Manifold Markets prices 2030 or later at 40% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does When will Paul Thomas Anderson’s next feature film be released? resolve?
- When will Paul Thomas Anderson’s next feature film be released? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2031.
- How is When will Paul Thomas Anderson’s next feature film be released? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Paul Thomas Anderson’s most recent film, One Battle After Another, was released on September 26, 2025, going on to win six Academy Awards including Best Picture and Best Director — PTA’s first career Oscar win.