Will Grok Imagine’s full-length Odyssey film be released this year?
3.0 pts (24h)AIOne-OffEntertainment5mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo 81%
Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$136.9
Liquidity
$6.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
17.0% / 19.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jul 22, 26, 2:53 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes19%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Medium | 81% | — | $136.9 | $6.2K | 9 minutes ago | |
 Manifold Markets92% match · auto | — | 87% | — | — | — | 29 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
Will Grok Imagine’s full-length Odyssey film be released this year? [Kalshi]
5mo
86.5%
13.5%
Community forecast35 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
If A full-length film adaptation of The Odyssey made using Grok Imagine and officially released by Grok or an official account controlled by Elon Musk, pursuant to Elon Musk’s July 22, 2026 announcement is been publicly released through official channels before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The media must be made available to the general public through at least one official distribution channel, including theatrical release, streaming availability, physical media (DVD, Blu-ray), or authorized digital purchase/download.
- The release must be accessible without special invitations or industry credentials in at least one major metropolitan area if the geography refers to a country.
- Private screenings, film festivals, leaked content, and torrent availability do not qualify.
- Trailers and soundtracks do not satisfy the criterion unless the full media is released.
- Different versions or formats of the same base content (theatrical, director's cut, extended edition) are considered the same media if the core content is substantially identical.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$137Jul 227d of dataJul 28
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If A full-length film adaptation of The Odyssey made using Grok Imagine and officially released by Grok or an official account controlled by Elon Musk, pursuant to Elon Musk’s July 22, 2026 announcement is been publicly released through official channels before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The media must be made available to the general public through at least one official distribution channel, including theatrical release, streaming availability, physical media (DVD, Blu-ray), or authorized digital purchase/download.
- The release must be accessible without special invitations or industry credentials in at least one major metropolitan area if the geography refers to a country.
- Private screenings, film festivals, leaked content, and torrent availability do not qualify.
- Trailers and soundtracks do not satisfy the criterion unless the full media is released.
- Different versions or formats of the same base content (theatrical, director's cut, extended edition) are considered the same media if the core content is substantially identical.