Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 21, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastYes 96.1%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 days ago
StaleMar 6, 24, 1:20 AMJun 1, 28, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes96%
Volume trend
$117Jul 144d of dataJul 21
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Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.