Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastTitle of the movie is "Dune: Part Three" 100%Leader of 27 outcomes
Forecasters
62
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleMar 25, 24, 2:57 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Dune: Part Three make over 650 million dollars at the global box office?
Manifold MarketsWill Dune: Part Three make over 700 million dollars worldwide?
Manifold MarketsWill "Project Hail Mary" receive more Oscar nominations than "Dune: Part Three"?
Manifold MarketsWill Dune: Part Three be delayed?
PolymarketDune: Part Three: Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiWhen will Dune: Part Three be released?
KalshiRules
Propose bets on the third Dune movie! Must be a sequel to Dune: Part Two.
- I will default to using IMDB (and failing that, Wikipedia) to resolve questions, when possible.
- If no such movie is announced/released before 2031, all relevant markets resolve to N/A. (Example: If it's announced and then canceled, markets about how it'll be announced still resolve, but markets about things like runtime would not.)
- Markets with spoilers are allowed but please phrase them without spoilers if possible.
- I reserve the right to resolve markets as N/A if I feel like they're off topic, poorly worded, or just bad according to me.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.5pt70.6%
- 940 - 950m-17.0pt25.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $371.8K
- 24h Vol
- $113.9K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+26.0pt67%
- Jack Barton-7.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt19%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-5.5pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.6pt9%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $93K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $151.8K
- 24h Vol
- $52.7K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-1.0pt17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
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- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Dune: Part Three Prop Bets?
- Manifold Markets prices Title of the movie is "Dune: Part Three" at 100% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Dune: Part Three Prop Bets resolve?
- Dune: Part Three Prop Bets is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2031.
- How is Dune: Part Three Prop Bets settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Propose bets on the third Dune movie! Must be a sequel to Dune: Part Two.