"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" passes "Avengers: Endgame"? (>$2.8B worldwide)
EntertainmentOne-OffBox Office / Streaming4moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 97.8%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleAug 29, 26, 1:36 AM UTCMar 1, 27, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Spider-Man: Brand New Day (2026) achieves a lifetime worldwide box office gross of $2,797,501,328 ($2.79 billion) or more by February 28, 2027.
- If it does not reach this milestone by that date, the market resolves to NO.
- Resolution will be determined using the official worldwide box office figures reported on:
- Box Office Mojo All-Time Worldwide Chart
- The Numbers All-Time Worldwide Chart
