KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo 90%
Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$810.1
Liquidity
$25K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
10.0% / 12.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 29 minutes ago
Jan 8, 26, 3:00 PMDec 18, 26, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes10%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Medium | 90% | +80pt | $810.1 | $25K | 29 minutes ago | |
 Polymarket95% match · auto | Low | 93% | +83pt | $1.1 | $2K | 9 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?
4mo
92.1%
7.9%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$2.9K
24h Vol$1.1
POLYMARKETRules
If Avengers: Doomsday's release is delayed past December 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by Disney.
- Any references to Disney or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Disney and Kalshi.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$810Jul 226d of dataJul 27
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Rules
If Avengers: Doomsday's release is delayed past December 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by Disney.
- Any references to Disney or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Disney and Kalshi.