PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityZohran Mamdani 39%+30.0%Leader of 22 outcomes
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$109.4
Liquidity
$197K
High liquidityBid / Ask
3.0% / 43.0%
Spread
1333.3%
Wide spread7d Change
+12.5%
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
May 26, 26, 8:41 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
Zohran Mamdani39%
Also available on Kalshi
TIME's Person of the Year for 2026?
5.0%6mo
-5.0%21%
20%
-4.0%16%
+19 more outcomes
28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$3.6K
24h Vol$13
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year.
- Additionally, the following rules apply:
- If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year.
- If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year.
- Additionally, the following rules apply:
- If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year.
- If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year.