What are the current odds for Will Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 66% as of September 8, 2026.

When does Will Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human? resolve?

Will Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

Will Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human?

US PoliticsOne-OffRussia / Ukraine3mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 65.6%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 7 hours ago

Stale

Dec 11, 25, 6:56 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

Time's Person of the Year for 2026

Kalshi

TIME Person of the Year 2026

Polymarket

Who will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist?

Manifold Markets

Will AI be Time's person of the year in 2025 OR 2026?

Manifold Markets

Will TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person?

Manifold Markets

TIME Person of the Year 2026

Futuur

Rules

This market resolves YES if the winner of Time's Person of the Year in 2026 is given to one human person.

This market would resolve YES for:
A single individual person (e.g. "Donald Trump")
An individual plus a concept or non-human entity (e.g. "Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the Spirit of Ukraine")
It would resolve NO for:
More than one person, or a nonspecific group (e.g. "Joe Biden and Kamala Harris" or "The Architects of AI")

Report a data issue with this market

Will Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human?

US PoliticsOne-OffRussia / Ukraine3mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 65.6%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 7 hours ago

Stale

Dec 11, 25, 6:56 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

Time's Person of the Year for 2026

Kalshi

TIME Person of the Year 2026

Polymarket

Who will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist?

Manifold Markets

Will AI be Time's person of the year in 2025 OR 2026?

Manifold Markets

Will TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person?

Manifold Markets

TIME Person of the Year 2026

Futuur

Rules

This market resolves YES if the winner of Time's Person of the Year in 2026 is given to one human person.

This market would resolve YES for:
A single individual person (e.g. "Donald Trump")
An individual plus a concept or non-human entity (e.g. "Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the Spirit of Ukraine")
It would resolve NO for:
More than one person, or a nonspecific group (e.g. "Joe Biden and Kamala Harris" or "The Architects of AI")

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human??: Manifold Markets prices Yes at 66% as of September 8, 2026.
When does Will Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human? resolve?: Will Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
How is Will Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if the winner of Time's Person of the Year in 2026 is given to one human person.

Will Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human?

Will Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human?

Frequently asked questions

Open markets

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Which party will win the U.S. House?

2028 Republican presidential nominee