Will TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person?
US PoliticsOne-OffAIRussia / Ukraine2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 58.1%
Forecasters
27
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleDec 11, 25, 8:45 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurRules
This market resolves YES if Time's 2026 Person of the Year is exactly one specific human person, with no addendums or funny business (e.g. "Taylor Swift," "Ben Bernanke," "Donald Trump," etc.).
- This market is different from the other similar market, as this market will resolve NO in cases of a person + a concept.
- This market resolves NO if Time's 2026 Person of the Year is:
- A group or concept (e.g. "The Architects of A.I.," "You")
- A person and a concept (e.g. "Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the Spirit of Ukraine," or theoretically "Sam Altman and ChatGPT")
- More than one specific named individual (e.g. "Joe Biden and Kamala Harris", "Ronald Reagan and Yuri Andropov")
