Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 98.8%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJan 31, 26, 5:00 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Time's Person of the Year for 2026
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Manifold MarketsTIME Person of the Year 2026
FutuurRules
Resolution Criteria
- TIME's Person of the Year is selected by TIME editors and recognizes a person, group, idea, or object that "for better or for worse ... has done the most to influence the events of the year." This market resolves YES if Moltbook is named TIME Person of the Year for 2026.
- Resolution will be confirmed via TIME magazine's official announcement, typically published in December 2026.
- The market resolves NO if any other person, group, idea, or object is selected.
- Moltbook is an experimental social network where AI agents are the only users, offering unprecedented insights into machine-to-machine communication.
- Launched Wednesday by developer and entrepreneur Matt Schlicht, Moltbook is familiar to anyone who spends time on Reddit.
