What are the current odds for TIME Person of the Year 2026?

Futuur prices Zohran Mamdani at 24% as of October 25, 2026.

When does TIME Person of the Year 2026 resolve?

TIME Person of the Year 2026 is scheduled to resolve on December 14, 2026.

Where else is TIME Person of the Year 2026 listed?

The same question is also listed on Polymarket, Manifold Markets, Kalshi.

Paper trade this

TIME Person of the Year 2026

One-OffAwards1mo

FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution data

Current implied probability

Zohran Mamdani 24%

Leader of 10 outcomes

Market quality

29 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

$3K

Medium liquidity

Traders

Comments

Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

Who will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist?

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Will Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human?

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Will AI be Time's person of the year in 2025 OR 2026?

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Will TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person?

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Time's Person of the Decade

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Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Polymarket

Rules

Each market in this event resolves to "Yes" if the listed person, concept, or entity is TIME Person of the Year for 2026, per the TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the choice (the Person of the Year feature article may also be used).

Under the resolution rules, more than one market can resolve "Yes" — for example, when a group is named and listed people associated with it appear on the cover — so markets resolve independently.
If the Person of the Year is a concept, group, or thing, a listed person still qualifies if they are explicitly named Person of the Year, or if they are directly associated with the named concept, group, or thing and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year.
A listed concept, group, entity, or thing qualifies only if it is synonymous with the announced Person of the Year — being conceptually linked, or being pictured on the cover, is not sufficient for a non-person option.
If TIME uses language that does not refer to a specific, commonly recognized concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g., 2011's "The Protester"), the TIME Person of the Year feature article will be used to determine the meaning of that language, and listed options qualify if they can be reasonably understood as equivalent to it.
If the 2026 Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all markets resolve "No".