Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastZohran Mamdani 26%-0.3ptLeader of 50 outcomes
Forecasters
280
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-1.1 pts
Market data
Updated 30 minutes ago
Nov 30, 25, 7:39 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?
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PolymarketRules
This question resolves to the TIME 2026 Person of The Year.
- It uses consolidated answers to avoid having to predict who the major party nominees will be, or the exact wording of any abstract/group answers.
- If multiple options do end up being true, then those options will resolve to an even split of 100%.
- In ambiguous cases, I will try to match the resolution of the market to who Wikipedia lists in their TIME Person of The Year article.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — TIME Person of the Year 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 26%
- Also available on Futuur — TIME Person of the Year 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 24%
- Also available on Kalshi — Time's Person of the Year for 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 26%
